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France in military talks with Cyprus
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turkkan

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:23 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The toros 260 missile has a 150 Km range and the missiles are guided by GPS, and further upgrades will make the missile be able to hit over 280km away, basically Athens. Here is a magazine article on it

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turkkan

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Furthermore there is currently a lot of talk between Russia and turkey on the acquisition of S-300 or S-400's with an option to co-produce the later. If those are acquired i suggest you not having youre heart set on to many of those F-16 block 52's leaving crete to come to cyprus.
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turkkan

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

You are right actually, the toros can only reach 100km, it is in mass production now as we speak, however the above article has a mistake in it, its actually speaking about the B611, its called the 'J' missile in turkey. THis has a range of a 150km and expected to expand to 280km.


CASIC B611: Unveiled at Zhuhai for the first time, the B611 battlefield missile has a range of 150km. It is apparently the product of a cooperative program with Turkey and is in production for the PLA. It is meant to compete with the Russian Iskander-E. Photo: RD Fisher

CASIC unveiled a new short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) called the B611. A picture of this missile appeared on the internet in 2003, while Chinese sources say development began around 1999. Some sources indicate the B611 was the product of a cooperative program with Turkey. It is now in production for the PLA and CASIC officials said that "several countries" have expressed interest in the B611. The missile is derived from the DF-15/DF-11 SRBM family, and shares its stealthy nose shape. However, it is smaller and had only a 150km range. Other sources note that a lengthened, 250km range version is in development. The B611 has a useful 480kg size warhead that features high explosives for now, but other warheads may be developed. CASIC officials claim it has a maneuver capability similar to the Russian SS-X-26 Iskander-E. At the show it was featured with a 24-ton twin-missile truck-based transporter-erector-launcher (TEL). Six of these could be connected to a separate command truck for a notional battalion. An earlier version featured a single missile with integrated command section TEL. With a lighter warhead, this missile might be able to increase its range in order to reach Taiwan. However, it is more likely the B611 would be used to rapidly build up missiles on Taiwan that could be used to attack any U.S. forces coming to the rescue.

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s300

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 2:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Andreas Papandreou air base in Paphos


Who was the fruit loop who named a base after a kalamara?

Maybe it should be renamed Peter Andre air base or even George Michael airbase LOL Laughing
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turkkan

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 1:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
And even in such a case, they would have been a piece of cake for the TOR-M1’s –the best worldwide existing AAAM system with 99% effectiveness- to intercept them in the sky, as well as any other kind and type of known smart bombs currently available.


I looked the effectivness of the TOR-m1 against the toros or J missile up, and youre quite wrong. 99% effectivness? Laughing THis is from someone who had ties with the project at one point.

The success rate of Tor-1 against cruise missiles is around 60%. If Toros-260 is similar to WS-1 as suggested by many, then it will have a similar size to a cruise missile yet it will fly at March 3.6. TOR-1 can engage the targets upto March 2. So, the changes of TOR-1 hitting an artillary rocket is slim to null. CIWS has more chance to eliminate an artillary rocket provided that the missile is nearby and Toros is within the maximum velocity engagement limit of CIWS. I don't know about Phalanx' maximum engagement velocity, but it was prelimiraly designed for the slower cruise missiles. So I would think March 3.6 pretty fast for it.
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Kifeas
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:36 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It is not my intention and wish to carry on this subject endlessly, but since you are trying to prove to me that we are somehow hopeless (nowhere near the truth,) then I must give you some better facts. The missiles you are talking about have a 150km range, but still, the most important assets and installations in the south are outside their range, unless they are placed on the very little tip of the Anamur peninsula in south Turkey, nevertheless the destruction capacity of the above missiles on sheltered or mobile assets is very limited. Furthermore, the TOR-M1s may have a 60%-90% kill probability at 2 MACH (700 m/s,) but there is another system available (BUK-M1-2,) with a much higher range (40 kms) that can intercept (kill) targets flying at 3.6 MACH, even though at a somewhat less kill probability 40%-70%. However, in case of firing such missiles, rest sure that not just one AM missile will be launched against each one of them, but perhaps 2-3 ones from different batteries, making the kill probability a 100% one.

Such missiles cannot be used effectively against Cyprus in order to destroy important military assets, especially mobile ones, but only for the purpose of causing destruction on cities and civilian casualties. However, in view of such a scenario of using the above missiles for the destruction of civilian areas -and besides the fact that we are perfectly legitimized to re-import the S-300 PMU system, we are also legitimized to target civilian (and military) areas in the north, and it is not only the Hezbollahs that have Katyoushas. In fact, the Hezbollah Katyoushas are the so-called Mickey Mouse ones. The real things are launched from 4x10 mobile platforms (Smerch and Grad MLR systems.) Turkey can make use of its sophisticated assets against us, but only if it has no interest and regard for its own assets and civilian areas in the north.

And Bananiot, it is not an issue of engaging ourselves in an arm’s race with Turkey, like the US vs. Soviet one, because this is not (and cannot be) our purpose. Our purpose is to defend the little area, airspace and waters of Cyprus from our only single one hostile neighbor that is called Turkey; while Turkey’s purpose –besides defending it’s 80 times larger territory and boarder lines, is to be offensively capable against all its numerous and equally large and hostile-turned neighbors. Our and Turkey’s needs are quite different for each other, both in terms of numbers /quantities and in terms of types /kinds of military expenses and acquisitions.
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Bananiot
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 4:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I do not believe you are saying that we should protect our legitimate rights with military strength. Simply we cannot do this and in any case, our adversaries will only allow us to install those weapons that do not constitute a threat to their supremacy. Look at what happened with the S300's. I think also that it is a non starter trying to defend the part of Cyprus that is left to us. No one is endangering this part. The idea is to get rid of the occupation and short of attacking capabilities all we have is political means. However, since we have lost all credibility in this field recently, I can see the frustrution that directs you to a distructive "solution".
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Kifeas
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bananiot wrote:
I do not believe you are saying that we should protect our legitimate rights with military strength. Simply we cannot do this and in any case, our adversaries will only allow us to install those weapons that do not constitute a threat to their supremacy. Look at what happened with the S300's. I think also that it is a non starter trying to defend the part of Cyprus that is left to us. No one is endangering this part. The idea is to get rid of the occupation and short of attacking capabilities all we have is political means. However, since we have lost all credibility in this field recently, I can see the frustrution that directs you to a distructive "solution".


You mean to say that we do not have the right to do everything possible in order to defend ourselves, while others have every right to do everything to be most effective in their offensive ambitions, because doing anything to defend ourselves that will be perceived by our adversaries to constitute a threat to their “supremacy” will not be permitted by them. And you also seem to accept this logic and abide by it, because you feel it is our kismet as a small country to live under the shadow of the bigger and more powerful ones. This of course is the classic slave or Rayia mentality, but I suppose you have no problem with it and you are willing to succumb to the wishes of the “stronger,” as long as you are permitted by Yasak Büyükhany to stay alive. Dignity for you is not important at all, I suppose.

How many Greek Cypriots share your "fears?" Are they many more than the “sensible” 0.5% that your party received in the last parliamentary elections? Do you at least care to tell us what they will do to us, if we take measures to strengthen our defence cababilities and which will be perceived by them to threaten their “supremacy?” I say that apart from shouting and barging here and there, they will do nothing. What do you think they will do to prohibit us from doing what is our sacred right to do?
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Bananiot
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:09 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think the present Cyprus government agrees with me. Thus it has nothing to do with my small party which was voted by about seven thousand people in the last elections and obtained 1.5% against all odds.

The government must agree with me because, as far as I know, the S300's are still in Crete. This makes you and your proteges the real defeatists, since they can bring them to Cyprus but they always chicken out when it comes to push and shove. Slogans are harmless and win votes, action is much harder.

If you have any complains you know where to direct them for, according to your own logic, the governement can only be assumed to have accepted the logic of the strong and strongly abides by it. This is what must keep the S300's in Crete and the Turkish F16's roaming all over Cyprus.
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turkkan

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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:19 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

THe s300's have become a critical part of Greece airdefense umbrella, they also partly protect the pathway from Crete to Cyprus so their role is served quite well.


Quote:
The missiles you are talking about have a 150km range, but still, the most important assets and installations in the south are outside their range, unless they are placed on the very little tip of the Anamur peninsula in south Turkey, nevertheless the destruction capacity of the above missiles on sheltered or mobile assets is very limited. Furthermore, the TOR-M1s may have a 60%-90% kill probability at 2 MACH (700 m/s,) but there is another system available (BUK-M1-2,) with a much higher range (40 kms) that can intercept (kill) targets flying at 3.6 MACH, even though at a somewhat less kill probability 40%-70%. However, in case of firing such missiles, rest sure that not just one AM missile will be launched against each one of them, but perhaps 2-3 ones from different batteries, making the kill probability a 100% one.

Such missiles cannot be used effectively against Cyprus in order to destroy important military assets, especially mobile ones, but only for the purpose of causing destruction on cities and civilian casualties.



Kifeas, this conversation is probably one of the more interesting ones on this forum, i dont know why you would want to stop it. Let me reply to you however, cause the above post is quite wrong.

You are wrong when it comes at stopping artillery missiles like the B611/TOROS cos there is no system in the world able to do this 100%, they may call themselves better than the US if they can stop 10%. But the artillery missiles prime duty is not targeting hardened shelters as it carries conventional explosives, cluster and shrapnel penetrating charges. To be short the prime duty is battlefield saturation barrage firing to disable as much as possible enemy soldiers and equipment. It can be of course used against fixed radar positions and barracks as the INS/GPS guided missiles are quite accurate. In places like Cyprus with lot of fixed positions it will be certainly used against military installations, airports etc. Second we have the full capability to mount these missiles on spurance destoyers on ships, and dont forget that in the coming years the range of these missiles will certainly be 280km. However till then those missiles will be stationed in the north.
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Kifeas
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PostPosted: Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

turkkan wrote:
THe s300's have become a critical part of Greece airdefense umbrella, they also partly protect the pathway from Crete to Cyprus so their role is served quite well.


Quote:
The missiles you are talking about have a 150km range, but still, the most important assets and installations in the south are outside their range, unless they are placed on the very little tip of the Anamur peninsula in south Turkey, nevertheless the destruction capacity of the above missiles on sheltered or mobile assets is very limited. Furthermore, the TOR-M1s may have a 60%-90% kill probability at 2 MACH (700 m/s,) but there is another system available (BUK-M1-2,) with a much higher range (40 kms) that can intercept (kill) targets flying at 3.6 MACH, even though at a somewhat less kill probability 40%-70%. However, in case of firing such missiles, rest sure that not just one AM missile will be launched against each one of them, but perhaps 2-3 ones from different batteries, making the kill probability a 100% one.

Such missiles cannot be used effectively against Cyprus in order to destroy important military assets, especially mobile ones, but only for the purpose of causing destruction on cities and civilian casualties.



Kifeas, this conversation is probably one of the more interesting ones on this forum, i dont know why you would want to stop it. Let me reply to you however, cause the above post is quite wrong.

You are wrong when it comes at stopping artillery missiles like the B611/TOROS cos there is no system in the world able to do this 100%, they may call themselves better than the US if they can stop 10%. But the artillery missiles prime duty is not targeting hardened shelters as it carries conventional explosives, cluster and shrapnel penetrating charges. To be short the prime duty is battlefield saturation barrage firing to disable as much as possible enemy soldiers and equipment. It can be of course used against fixed radar positions and barracks as the INS/GPS guided missiles are quite accurate. In places like Cyprus with lot of fixed positions it will be certainly used against military installations, airports etc. Second we have the full capability to mount these missiles on spurance destoyers on ships, and dont forget that in the coming years the range of these missiles will certainly be 280km. However till then those missiles will be stationed in the north.


Of course there is such a system that can stop ballistic missiles flying up to 3.6 mach, and we already have it here, 10 batteries and another 6 on the way.

Since you mentioned ships, do not forget that the entire coastlines of the south are planted with exocet shelters, and this means your ships must stay 70 kms away from Cyprus in the open seas, vulnerable to the Greek navy and air force, but if you are going to install them in Cyprus, we can always double the already large stock of the 6 Smerch (up to 70 kms) and the 22 Grad (up to 30 kms) MLRS batteries. Each volley of one of these batteries can wipe out an entire camp or a field equal to one square kilometre in less than a minute.

As for the S-300, we can always place a new order to the Russians, and this time you will have no legitimacy to complain or protest since you already have missiles of the same range directed to Cyprus, even though I have a feeling that the Buk's can do quite a good job as an alternative.
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Mete
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Kifeas & Turkkan,

It's fun to read your posts. Back in the days when I used to play with my army toys, my buddies and I used to compare our armies. We'd talk about how many soldiers, helicopters, planes, rockets, etc . we had and we'd try to predict who would win the "war" before we actually start the game of war. This kind of reminded me of those days Smile
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Kifeas
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PostPosted: Wed Aug 02, 2006 11:33 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mete wrote:
Kifeas & Turkkan,

It's fun to read your posts. Back in the days when I used to play with my army toys, my buddies and I used to compare our armies. We'd talk about how many soldiers, helicopters, planes, rockets, etc . we had and we'd try to predict who would win the "war" before we actually start the game of war. This kind of reminded me of those days Smile


This is precisely the reason I did not want to continue this discussion with Turkkan, so that no one like you would have come up with the above.
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pg

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PostPosted: Thu Aug 03, 2006 6:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

http://www.hurriyet.com.tr/english/4862106.asp?gid=74

Quote:
Alongside the advantages the French are hoping to grab by building a base in Southern Cyprus, the Cypriots too are expecting to benefit from this military agreement. For a long time, Southern Cyprus has been searching out full support within the EU from France against Turkey's quest for accession. Some of the contents in the agreement between France and Southern Cyprus as specified by Papadopoulos' authority:

----Despite the military embargo implemented against Southern Cyprus, the Southern Cypriot army will be able to gain advanced technology weapons from the French.

----The French army will provide military training for the Southern Cypriot army.

----France is expected to support Southern Cyprus in its quest to join in certain international organizations that it has thus far been barred from.


Although I suspect it is more fears than facts...
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